The Number Of Democrats Showing Up At Trump Rallies Is Stunning
President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a campaign rally, Thursday, Aug. 15, 2019, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
One day after the House voted along party lines to pass the impeachment inquiry resolution, President Trump held a rally at the BancorpSouth Arena in Tupelo, MS. Trump traveled to the state to support the Republican gubernatorial candidate, Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves who is running against Democrat Jim Hood.
A local reporter wrote that some supporters arrived before dawn. By 10 a.m., they had begun to line up.
The arena, which has a maximum capacity of 10,000 was packed and a large overflow crowd remained outside watching on a giant television screen.
The arena was full an hour before Trump spoke.
On Sunday night, Trump’s campaign manager, Brad Parscale, released some very surprising data guaranteed to send a shiver up Democrats’ spines.
Of the 16,432 voters who provided data, 27% were Democrats. The significance of this is monumental. I wonder what the percentage of Republicans attending Democratic rallies is. I imagine it would be low to nil.
This tells us that a certain percentage of Democrats are looking at the weak field of candidates and are searching for an alternative. I would guess many of them are turned off by the injustice of the current impeachment inquiry as well as the party’s sharp left turn. It might surprise Democrats to hear that not every Democrat supports impeachment or the vision of a socialist America.
The next data point showed that 24% had voted once or less in the last four elections. Half of them have not voted at all. Can you imagine if this group were to actually go to the polls next year and cast their ballot for Trump? It’s not a crazy assumption. It takes less time and effort to cast a vote than to attend a campaign rally.
The data also showed that 20% were black. The state of Mississippi has the largest black population in the U.S. at approximately 37%. It’s also one of the reddest states. (The District of Columbia has the largest black population – 50.7%.) Still, 20% is an impressive number for African-American turnout at a Trump rally.
Parscale’s comment on this data was encouraging. He wrote, “More winning numbers that will help secure #FourMoreYears for @realDonaldTrump! Continue to outperform 2016.”
Parscale reported the data from the previous rally, held on October 17th in Dallas, TX and it was equally impressive.
First, their data showed that 53,985 voters had attended. (The Dallas venue was larger than the Tupelo venue.) The stadium had a maximum capacity of 20,000.
Next, 21.4% were Democrats.
12% of those who attended indicated they had not voted in the last four elections.
Finally, Parscale found that 11% of them were Latino. The implications of such a strong Hispanic presence lays to waste the Democratic talking point that Trump’s insistence on building a border wall and taking a tougher stand against illegal immigration is resonating. Admittedly, close to 40% of the state’s population is Hispanic compared to about 18% for the general U.S. population. Still, an 11% Hispanic turnout to a Trump rally is impressive. The Hispanic vote will have a big impact on the results in 2020.
I’ve watched the last several Trump rallies on television and I’ve concluded:
1. There is no way that any of the 2020 Democratic candidates could ever attract the crowd sizes that Trump regularly receives at his rallies.
2. Nor would supporters line up 24-48 hours to hear any of them speak.
3. No one in the current field could generate the level of excitement Trump creates routinely at these events.
4. President Trump connects with attendees on an emotional level.
5. Trump himself loves holding rallies and the crowd feels it, knows it.